Weekly Market Trend Recap
Week of February 23, 2026 (UTC)
Bull vs Bear Trend
Through yesterday (UTC EOD)| Date | Bull Score | Bear Score | BTC Close (USD) | S&P 500 Close | Next-day BTC | Next-day S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 69.6 | 81.5 | $66967.85 | - | Bear | Bear |
| 2026-02-27 | 70.5 | 76.0 | $65859.94 | 6878.88 |
Bear Miss
Next
$66967.85
|
Bear |
| 2026-02-26 | 70.6 | 71.9 | $67490.51 | 6908.86 |
Bear Hit
Next
$65859.94
|
Bear Hit
Next
6878.88
|
| 2026-02-25 | 70.4 | 74.0 | $67992.68 | 6946.13 |
Bear Hit
Next
$67490.51
|
Bear Hit
Next
6908.86
|
| 2026-02-24 | 68.0 | 75.2 | $64068.33 | 6890.07 |
Bear Miss
Next
$67992.68
|
Bear Miss
Next
6946.13
|
| 2026-02-23 | 69.0 | 82.0 | $64625.78 | 6837.75 |
Bear Hit
Next
$64068.33
|
Bear Miss
Next
6890.07
|
| 2026-02-22 | 67.6 | 64.7 | $67617.98 | - |
Bull Miss
Next
$64625.78
|
Bull |
Weekly Highlights
Top Bullish Drivers
- • After the strikes: Planning for Iran’s 'day after'
- • Saudi Arabia, Israel pushed Donald Trump for Iran strike
- • Trump Rolls the Iron Dice
Top Bearish Drivers
- • Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei, family memebers killed: Iranian media
- • MK Ofer Cassif decries Israeli strikes against Iran
- • Japanese shipping giants pull back as Strait of Hormuz ’practically closes’
Weekly AI Insight
Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week.
Signal Accuracy (Next-day)
How We Calculate This
Scores are recency-weighted averages of importance_score over the last 7 days. We anchor the decay to each day?s UTC end-of-day with a 12-hour half-life. Next-day accuracy checks whether prior-day Bull/Bear dominance matches the next day?s close direction. BTC uses UTC dates; S&P 500 uses U.S. market close dates.