Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
BullBear's open picks · 검증 중인 AI 픽
BullBear AI's verified 30-day hit rate: 51.4% (667 hits / 1298 decisive picks · 24h window). 72h window: 50.0% (1038/2078). See the ledger →
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record — a transparency practice rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 51.4% on the 24-hour window (667 correct out of 1298 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 50.0% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is compared against the real price move of Bitcoin (for crypto stories) or the S&P 500 (for everything else), with neutral outcomes excluded. Right now there are 40 open picks still inside their verification window — bullish or bearish calls BullBear is currently staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
Cite as: BullBear.news Conviction Tracker, 2026-06-02. https://bullbear.news/conviction/today
⏱ Open picks · 24h verification window
Fed signals possible rate hike as inflation hits 3-year high
The Federal Reserve indicates a potential interest rate hike as inflation reaches a three-year high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 01:40 UTC
Federal Reserve Inflation Forecast Spikes: What It Means for Crypto Markets - WEEX
A spike in the Federal Reserve's inflation forecast suggests a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy, which could negatively impact crypto markets.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:47 UTC
Cleveland Fed sees May inflation at 4.18% as Fed split widens - MSN
The Cleveland Federal Reserve projects May inflation at 4.18%, indicating a widening split among Fed members. This forecast could dampen expectations for int...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:25 UTC
Fed split on rate path as inflation stays elevated
The Federal Reserve is divided on the future rate path as inflation remains high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 22:51 UTC
Fed's May inflation forecast fuels rate hike concerns - MSN
The Federal Reserve's inflation forecast for May is increasing concerns about potential interest rate hikes.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 21:04 UTC
The stock market just did something incredible. History says this will happen next.
The stock market just achieved a remarkable feat, with historical precedents suggesting a specific future outcome.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:44 UTC
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge - Invezz
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:23 UTC
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war - eciks.org
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war eciks.org
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:14 UTC
Dow falls 132 points as oil surge stirs inflation fears
The Dow dropped 132 points as a surge in oil prices reignited inflation fears, impacting equities negatively.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:13 UTC
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now - Yahoo Finance
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 17:30 UTC
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips. The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued new guidance to prevent Chinese companies from o...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 01, 16:30 UTC
Bitcoin Crashes to 7-Week Low – Retail Blames Michael Saylor While Oil Surges On Iran Hormuz Threat - Stocktwits
Bitcoin crashed to a 7-week low, with retail investors blaming Michael Saylor, while oil surged due to Iran's Hormuz threat.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 01, 15:10 UTC
Inflation hits three-year high as Fed faces tough choices - MSN
Inflation has reached a three-year high, putting the Federal Reserve in a difficult position regarding its monetary policy choices.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 14:14 UTC
Iran is stopping message exchanges with U.S., may block Hormuz, Tasnim news agency says - Reuters
Iran is stopping message exchanges with U.S., may block Hormuz, Tasnim news agency says Reuters
global_markets · Reuters via Google News EN · Jun 01, 14:00 UTC
KOSPI Nears 9,000, Hits All-Time High on Semiconductor Expectations
The KOSPI index closed at a new all-time high of 8,788.38 on June 1, 2026, nearing the 9,000 mark. This surge is attributed to strong US stock markets and re...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 01, 13:41 UTC
Fed’s Hammack warns of rate hikes if inflation persists By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria
Fed's Hammack warns of potential rate hikes if inflation persists.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 12:44 UTC
Fed Gets Warning Over Missing the ‘Bigger Picture’ on Inflation - Bloomberg.com
The Federal Reserve has received a warning that it may be missing the 'bigger picture' regarding inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 12:31 UTC
Monetary policy may not be sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation down—Cleveland Fed's Hammack - Seeking Alpha
Cleveland Fed's Hammack suggests that monetary policy may not be sufficiently restrictive to curb inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 12:31 UTC
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Act Soon Against High Inflation - Bloomberg
Fed's Hammack suggests the Fed may need to act soon to address high inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 12:30 UTC
Stock Market Could Crash In June (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha
Stock Market Could Crash In June (NYSEARCA:SPY)
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 12:13 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h verification window
Fed signals possible rate hike as inflation hits 3-year high
The Federal Reserve indicates a potential interest rate hike as inflation reaches a three-year high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 01:40 UTC
Federal Reserve Inflation Forecast Spikes: What It Means for Crypto Markets - WEEX
A spike in the Federal Reserve's inflation forecast suggests a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy, which could negatively impact crypto markets.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:47 UTC
Cleveland Fed sees May inflation at 4.18% as Fed split widens - MSN
The Cleveland Federal Reserve projects May inflation at 4.18%, indicating a widening split among Fed members. This forecast could dampen expectations for int...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:25 UTC
Fed split on rate path as inflation stays elevated
The Federal Reserve is divided on the future rate path as inflation remains high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 22:51 UTC
Fed's May inflation forecast fuels rate hike concerns - MSN
The Federal Reserve's inflation forecast for May is increasing concerns about potential interest rate hikes.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 21:04 UTC
The stock market just did something incredible. History says this will happen next.
The stock market just achieved a remarkable feat, with historical precedents suggesting a specific future outcome.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:44 UTC
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge - Invezz
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:23 UTC
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war - eciks.org
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war eciks.org
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:14 UTC
Dow falls 132 points as oil surge stirs inflation fears
The Dow dropped 132 points as a surge in oil prices reignited inflation fears, impacting equities negatively.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:13 UTC
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now - Yahoo Finance
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 17:30 UTC
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips. The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued new guidance to prevent Chinese companies from o...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 01, 16:30 UTC
Bitcoin Crashes to 7-Week Low – Retail Blames Michael Saylor While Oil Surges On Iran Hormuz Threat - Stocktwits
Bitcoin crashed to a 7-week low, with retail investors blaming Michael Saylor, while oil surged due to Iran's Hormuz threat.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 01, 15:10 UTC
Inflation hits three-year high as Fed faces tough choices - MSN
Inflation has reached a three-year high, putting the Federal Reserve in a difficult position regarding its monetary policy choices.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 14:14 UTC
Iran is stopping message exchanges with U.S., may block Hormuz, Tasnim news agency says - Reuters
Iran is stopping message exchanges with U.S., may block Hormuz, Tasnim news agency says Reuters
global_markets · Reuters via Google News EN · Jun 01, 14:00 UTC
KOSPI Nears 9,000, Hits All-Time High on Semiconductor Expectations
The KOSPI index closed at a new all-time high of 8,788.38 on June 1, 2026, nearing the 9,000 mark. This surge is attributed to strong US stock markets and re...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 01, 13:41 UTC
Investors alert: Strategy sells 2.5M bitcoin for the first time in 41 months - Seeking Alpha
Investors are alerted as a strategy sells 2.5 million Bitcoin for the first time in 41 months.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 01, 12:55 UTC
NYDIG "Large IBIT sale, more likely an urgent exit than basis liquidation"
NYDIG analyzes a $1.26 billion OTC block trade from BlackRock's IBIT as a likely urgent exit by a large holder, rather than a simple basis trade liquidation.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 01, 12:26 UTC
He's "Full Of Sh!t": JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Slams Coinbase's Armstrong, Declares War On Clarity Act
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has drawn a battle line in Washington: the Clarity Act, as written, is dead on arrival - and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is t...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 01, 11:45 UTC
ECB "Stablecoins resemble 2008 money market fund risks"
The ECB warns that the rapid growth of stablecoins resembles the risks of money market funds in 2008, posing potential financial instability.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 01, 11:41 UTC
Buckle Up! The Federal Reserve's May Inflation Forecast Points to Fireworks on Wall Street. - The Motley Fool
Buckle Up! The Federal Reserve's May Inflation Forecast Points to Fireworks on Wall Street.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 09:06 UTC